Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 11, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadions Skonto

Latvia
0 - 2
Wales

Dubra (27'), Savaļnieks (59'), Ikaunieks (64'), Emsis (78'), Tobers (89'), Cigaņiks (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ramsey (29' pen.), Brooks (90+6')
Williams (51'), Mepham (90+2')

Robert Page dismisses job pressure after Wales win over Latvia

Robert Page dismisses speculation regarding his position as Wales manager after the Dragons battle past Latvia in their latest Euro 2024 qualifier on Monday night.

Sep 12, 10:42

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Latvia and Wales, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Latvia

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Croatia 5-0 Latvia
Friday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	5	2	10
2	Croatia	3	7	7
3	Armenia	4	2	7
4	Wales	4	-3	4
5	Latvia	4	-8	0

Wales

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Wales 0-0 South Korea
Thursday, September 7 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	5	2	10
2	Croatia	3	7	7
3	Armenia	4	2	7
4	Wales	4	-3	4
5	Latvia	4	-8	0

Latvia look dead and buried already in the section, so Wales must take advantage to get themselves back among the sides challenging for the top two. Their last win outside of Wales came almost two years ago in Estonia, so they must end that barren run here if they want to stay in contention, and they may just have enough despite recent form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Latvia had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Latvia win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wales would win this match.

Result
Latvia	Draw	Wales
34.51% ( -0.03)	26.14% ( -0.04)	39.34% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 53.54% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.04% (

0.17)

50.96% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.17% (

0.15)

72.83% (

-0.15)

Latvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.79% (

0.06)

28.2% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.1% (

0.08)

63.9% (

-0.09)

Wales Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.58% (

0.11)

25.42% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.76% (

0.15)

60.24% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Latvia 34.51%

Wales 39.34%

Draw 26.13%

Latvia	Draw	Wales
1-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.42% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 34.51%	1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.13%	0-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.72% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 39.34%