Euro 2024

European Championship | Group Stage

Jun 17, 2024 at 8pm UK

Merkur Spiel-Arena

Austria
0 - 1
France

Wober (16'), Mwene (33'), Baumgartner (80'), Laimer (84'), Danso (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Wober (38' og.)
Dembele (56'), Mbappe (90')

French FA 'make decision' over Kylian Mbappe amid broken nose in Euro 2024 opener

The French Football Association confirm that they have made a decision over how to handle the broken nose suffered by star man Kylian Mbappe against Austria.

Jun 18, 09:22

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Austria

All competitions

Last Game: Switzerland 1-1 Austria
Saturday, June 8 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands	1	1	3
2	France	0	0	0
3	Austria	0	0	0
4	Poland	1	-1	0

France

All competitions

Last Game: France 0-0 Canada
Sunday, June 9 at 8.15pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands	1	1	3
2	France	0	0	0
3	Austria	0	0	0
4	Poland	1	-1	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Austria had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Austria win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for France in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for France.

Result
Austria	Draw	France
26.52% ( 1.21)	25.68% ( 0.43)	47.8% ( -1.64)

Both teams to score 51.12% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.7% (

-0.85)

52.29% (

0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.01% (

-0.73)

73.99% (

0.73)

Austria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.44% (

0.55)

34.55% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.72% (

0.58)

71.27% (

-0.59)

France Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.12% (

-1.06)

21.88% (

1.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.87% (

-1.63)

55.13% (

1.63)

Score Analysis

Austria 26.52%

France 47.79%

Draw 25.67%

Austria	Draw	France
1-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.17% Total : 26.52%	1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.67%	0-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.15) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.17) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.28% Total : 47.79%