MX23RW : Sunday, February 2 03:49:37| >> :600:1302316:1302316:
Aldershot Town
FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
The EBB Stadium.

Aldershot
2 - 1
Bath City

Akpan (24'), Mullins (90+8')
Maghoma (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fisher (76')
Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round Qualifying clash between Aldershot Town and Bath City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fylde 5-2 Aldershot
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Chesham 0-1 Bath City
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 58.77%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Bath City had a probability of 20.25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Bath City win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aldershot Town in this match.

Result
Aldershot TownDrawBath City
58.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 20.98%20.25% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 58.96% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.66% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)38.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.38% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)60.62%
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)12.8% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.9% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)39.1% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.61% (0.0020000000000095 0)32.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.09% (0.0010000000000012 0)68.91% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Score Analysis
    Aldershot Town 58.77%
    Bath City 20.25%
    Draw 20.98%
Aldershot TownDrawBath City
2-1 @ 9.88%
2-0 @ 8.76% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.52%
3-1 @ 6.77%
3-0 @ 6.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.82%
4-1 @ 3.48%
4-0 @ 3.09%
4-2 @ 1.96%
5-1 @ 1.43%
5-0 @ 1.27% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 58.77%
1-1 @ 9.61%
2-2 @ 5.57%
0-0 @ 4.15%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.98%
1-2 @ 5.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 4.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 2.09%
1-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 20.25%

How you voted: Aldershot vs Bath City

Aldershot Town
75.0%
Draw
12.5%
Bath City
12.5%
8
rhs 2.0
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