MX23RW : Thursday, October 10 22:51:44| >> :120:40603:40603:
FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Twerton Park Stadium

Bath City
2 - 1
Merthyr Town

Smith (11'), Frear (19')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Preston-Watkins (88')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Bath City and Merthyr Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelmsford City 3-0 Bath City
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Merthyr Town 3-2 Cribbs
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Merthyr Town win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Merthyr Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Bath City win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Bath CityDrawMerthyr Town
33.66% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06) 26.28% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 40.05% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Both teams to score 52.91% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.3% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)51.7% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.52% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)73.47% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)29.1% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.98% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)65.02% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Merthyr Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.62% (0.0010000000000048 0)25.38% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)60.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bath City 33.66%
    Merthyr Town 40.05%
    Draw 26.28%
Bath CityDrawMerthyr Town
1-0 @ 9.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.18% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 33.66%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.38% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.28%
0-1 @ 10.12% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.57% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 6.94% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.92% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 3.17% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 40.05%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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2Manchester CityMan City7520178917
3Arsenal7520156917
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5Aston Villa7421129314
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton73311310312
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle733187112
8Fulham7322108211
9Tottenham HotspurSpurs7313148610
10Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest724176110
11Brentford73131313010
12West Ham UnitedWest Ham72231011-18
13Bournemouth7223810-28
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd722358-38
15Leicester CityLeicester7133912-36
16Everton7124715-85
17Ipswich TownIpswich7043614-84
18Crystal Palace7034510-53
19Southampton7016415-111
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves7016921-121


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