FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
War Memorial Sports Ground
Carshalton3 - 2Melksham
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Carshalton Athletic and Melksham Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carshalton Athletic win with a probability of 56.65%. A win for Melksham Town had a probability of 21.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carshalton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Melksham Town win was 1-2 (5.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carshalton Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Carshalton Athletic | Draw | Melksham Town |
56.65% ( -0.01) | 21.6% | 21.75% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 59.12% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.8% ( 0.01) | 39.2% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.47% ( 0.01) | 61.53% ( -0.01) |
Carshalton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.29% ( -0) | 13.71% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.05% ( -0) | 40.95% ( 0) |
Melksham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.51% ( 0.01) | 31.49% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.12% ( 0.01) | 67.87% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Carshalton Athletic 56.65%
Melksham Town 21.75%
Draw 21.6%
Carshalton Athletic | Draw | Melksham Town |
2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.58% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.52% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.52% 3-0 @ 5.65% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.24% 4-0 @ 2.81% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.29% 5-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.44% Total : 56.65% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.6% | 1-2 @ 5.73% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.99% 0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 21.75% |
Form Guide
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Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 8 | 16 | 31 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 22 |
4 | Arsenal | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 22 |
5 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 22 |
6 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 19 |
7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Aston Villa | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
9 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
10 | Fulham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
11 | Brentford | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 17 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Bournemouth | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Everton | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 11 |
16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 9 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 9 |
19 | Crystal Palace | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
20 | Southampton | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 4 |
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