FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round Replays
Aug 13, 2024 at 8pm UK
Cricklefield Stadium
Ilford0 - 3Newport Pagnell
FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round Replays clash between Ilford and Newport Pagnell Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport Pagnell Town win with a probability of 58.6%. A win for Ilford had a probability of 22.39% and a draw had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport Pagnell Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.11%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Ilford win was 2-1 (5.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport Pagnell Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ilford | Draw | Newport Pagnell Town |
22.39% ( -0.62) | 19.01% ( -0.26) | 58.6% ( 0.88) |
| Both teams to score 69.98% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
