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FA Cup
FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Latimer Park

Kettering
2 - 1
Stafford Rangers

FT(HT: 0-0)
Cockerline (73')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Kettering Town and Stafford Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kettering Town

All competitions
Last Game: Boston 4-2 Kettering
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

Stafford Rangers

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Hanley Town 0-1 Stafford Rangers
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kettering Town win with a probability of 55.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Stafford Rangers had a probability of 21.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kettering Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Stafford Rangers win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Kettering Town in this match.

Result
Kettering TownDrawStafford Rangers
55.93% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 22.16% (0.0010000000000012 0) 21.91% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.38% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.4% (0.019000000000005 0.02)41.59% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)63.99% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Kettering Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.26% (0.0010000000000048 0)14.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.03% (0.0039999999999978 0)42.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Stafford Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.31% (0.024000000000001 0.02)32.69% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.75% (0.024999999999999 0.02)69.24% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Kettering Town 55.93%
    Stafford Rangers 21.91%
    Draw 22.15%
Kettering TownDrawStafford Rangers
2-1 @ 9.88%
1-0 @ 9.23% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.3%
3-0 @ 5.64% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 3.02%
4-0 @ 2.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.16%
5-0 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 55.93%
1-1 @ 10.31%
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.15%
1-2 @ 5.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 5.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 21.91%

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