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FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
2 - 1
Merstham

FT(HT: 0-0)
Pointing (76')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Tonbridge Angels and Merstham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chippenham 0-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Steyning Town 1-2 Merstham
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 60.82%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Merstham had a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 1-0 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Merstham win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawMerstham
60.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 19.78% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 19.4% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 61.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.16% (0.0040000000000049 0)33.84% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.32% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)55.68% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.16% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)10.84% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.07% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)34.93% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Merstham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.44% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)30.56% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)66.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 60.82%
    Merstham 19.4%
    Draw 19.78%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawMerstham
2-1 @ 9.69%
2-0 @ 8.18% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 7.36%
3-1 @ 7.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 6.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 4.26%
4-1 @ 3.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 3.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.77% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.5% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.05%
4-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 60.82%
1-1 @ 8.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.31%
3-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 19.78%
1-2 @ 5.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 3.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 2.33% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.27%
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 19.4%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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1Liverpool1210112481631
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd124441313016
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Ipswich TownIpswich121651323-109
19Crystal Palace121561017-78
20Southampton121110924-154


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