We said: Wigan Athletic 0-2 Fulham
Home has not been where the heart is for Wigan of late, whereas Fulham possess a taste for goals on rival territory, having not drawn a blank away from home in almost six months.
Even with a much-changed team, Silva's side should run into few obstacles against an inconsistent Latics side en route to round five.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 36.87%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.