MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 19:52:13| >> :60:581:581:
Real Madrid logo
Club Friendlies
Jul 24, 2023 at 3.10am UK
Rose Bowl
Milan logo

Real Madrid
3 - 2
AC Milan

Valverde (57', 59'), Junior (84')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Tomori (25'), Romero (42')
Romero (47')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Monday's friendly clash between Real Madrid and AC Milan.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's friendly clash between Real Madrid and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's pre-season contest with AC Milan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, June 4 at 5.30pm in La Liga

AC Milan

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: AC Milan 7-0 Lumezzane
Thursday, July 20 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Real Madrid 2-1 AC Milan

 It is always difficult to know exactly what to expect when two major clubs meet at this stage of pre-season. There will be wholesale changes throughout the match, which is almost certain to interrupt the tempo, but it should still be an entertaining contest between two quality sides, and we are expecting Real Madrid to just shade it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 53.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 23.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for an AC Milan win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawAC Milan
53.42% (0.0010000000000048 0) 23.55% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 23.03% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.24% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.53% (0.061999999999998 0.06)46.47% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.25% (0.058 0.06)68.75% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.67% (0.02300000000001 0.02)17.33% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.29% (0.039999999999999 0.04)47.71% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.61% (0.046000000000006 0.05)34.39% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.91% (0.047999999999998 0.05)71.09% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 53.42%
    AC Milan 23.03%
    Draw 23.55%
Real MadridDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 10.44% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 9.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.71% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 5.35% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.5% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 53.42%
1-1 @ 11.15%
0-0 @ 5.96% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.55%
0-1 @ 6.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.12% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 23.03%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs AC Milan

Real Madrid
59.7%
Draw
7.5%
AC Milan
32.7%
159
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2021 5.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Real Madrid
0-0
AC Milan
Calabria (40')
> Preview
Jul 30, 2015 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Real Madrid
0-0
AC Milan
 Real Madrid win 10-9 on penalties
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