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Tondela
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 27, 2024 at 11am UK
Estadio Joao Cardoso

Tondela
2 - 1
Sporting Covilha

FT
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Tondela and Sporting Covilha.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tondela 1-0 Benfica B
Sunday, July 21 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 3
Next Game: Uniao de Leiria vs. Tondela
Friday, August 2 at 1am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Viseu 2-0 Sporting Covilha
Wednesday, July 24 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Sporting Covilha had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.61%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Sporting Covilha win was 0-1 (11.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tondela would win this match.

Result
TondelaDrawSporting Covilha
38.19% (-2.739 -2.74) 29.46% (0.495 0.5) 32.35% (2.246 2.25)
Both teams to score 43.3% (-0.657 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.42% (-1.116 -1.12)63.58% (1.118 1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.12% (-0.808 -0.81)82.88% (0.81 0.81)
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.8% (-2.204 -2.2)32.2% (2.205 2.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.31% (-2.575 -2.58)68.69% (2.576 2.58)
Sporting Covilha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.87% (1.074 1.07)36.13% (-1.073 -1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.09% (1.079 1.08)72.91% (-1.077 -1.08)
Score Analysis
    Tondela 38.19%
    Sporting Covilha 32.34%
    Draw 29.46%
TondelaDrawSporting Covilha
1-0 @ 13.18% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 7.61% (-0.394 -0.39)
2-0 @ 7.47% (-0.62 -0.62)
3-1 @ 2.87% (-0.338 -0.34)
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.425 -0.43)
3-2 @ 1.46% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 38.19%
1-1 @ 13.42% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 11.63% (0.48 0.48)
2-2 @ 3.87% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.46%
0-1 @ 11.84% (0.81 0.81)
1-2 @ 6.83% (0.263 0.26)
0-2 @ 6.03% (0.574 0.57)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.154 0.15)
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.248 0.25)
2-3 @ 1.31% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 32.34%

rhs 2.0
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