MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 20:31:18| >> :600:3285529:3285529:
Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 20, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Municipal Jose Santos Pinto (Covilha)
Portimonense

Sporting Covilha
1 - 4
Portimonense

Ferreira (88')
Adams (28')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Costa (6'), Dener (47'), Carlinhos (49'), Amorim (79')
Pedrao (69')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Sporting Covilha and Portimonense.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Sporting Covilha 1-2 Nacional
Wednesday, December 14 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Porto 1-0 Portimonense
Sunday, October 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Covilha win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Covilha win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Sporting CovilhaDrawPortimonense
41.29% (0.233 0.23) 26.39% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07) 32.32% (-0.168 -0.17)
Both teams to score 52.17% (0.157 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.53% (0.227 0.23)52.46% (-0.231 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.86% (0.194 0.19)74.13% (-0.19799999999999 -0.2)
Sporting Covilha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (0.223 0.22)25.08% (-0.226 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (0.309 0.31)59.76% (-0.312 -0.31)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.64% (0.00099999999999056 0)30.36% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)66.54% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Covilha 41.28%
    Portimonense 32.32%
    Draw 26.39%
Sporting CovilhaDrawPortimonense
1-0 @ 10.52% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.68% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.28% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 4% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.36% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.38% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.16% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 41.28%
1-1 @ 12.55% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.61% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 9.08% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 7.48% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.41% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 32.32%

How you voted: Sporting Covilha vs Portimonense

Sporting Covilha
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Portimonense
50.0%
8
Head to Head
Nov 27, 2022 11am
rhs 2.0
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