Guatemala have defied the odds countless times at the Gold Cup this year, but we believe this is where their journey will end.
The Jamaicans might find it difficult to penetrate a well-organised Guatemalan backline, though the Reggae Boyz are a well-rounded group themselves with many players capable of stepping up in big moments, which is why we expect them to advance into the semi-finals.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 63.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 14.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Jamaica in this match.
