Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 62.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 14.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.64%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Cyprus win it was 1-0 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Serbia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Serbia.
0.29) 
-0.07) 
