Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 51.83%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 22.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Saudi Arabia win it was 1-0 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Mexico in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mexico.
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