J1 League | Gameweek 23
Aug 12, 2023 at 10am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium
Albirex Niigata2 - 2Shonan Bellmare
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Shonan Bellmare.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, August 5 at 11am in J1 League
Saturday, August 5 at 11am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
22
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 1-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, August 5 at 11am in J1 League
Saturday, August 5 at 11am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
27
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Albirex Niigata | Draw | Shonan Bellmare |
45.92% ( 0.02) | 24.56% ( -0.01) | 29.52% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 56.87% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.24% ( 0.02) | 45.76% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.92% ( 0.02) | 68.07% ( -0.03) |
Albirex Niigata Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.97% ( 0.02) | 20.02% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.77% ( 0.03) | 52.22% ( -0.04) |
Shonan Bellmare Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.11% ( -0) | 28.88% ( -0) |