J1 League | Gameweek 22
Aug 5, 2023 at 11am UK
Minato Soccer Stadium
Nagoya Grampus1 - 0Albirex Niigata
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Albirex Niigata.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-1 Nagoya Grampus
Sunday, July 16 at 11am in J1 League
Sunday, July 16 at 11am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
30
Last Game: Consadole 0-1 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, July 15 at 5am in J1 League
Saturday, July 15 at 5am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
22
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nagoya Grampus | Draw | Albirex Niigata |
42.36% ( 2.87) | 26.82% ( -0.55) | 30.82% ( -2.32) |
| Both teams to score 50.28% ( 0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.37% ( 1.52) | 54.63% ( -1.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.04% ( 1.25) | 75.96% ( -1.25) |
| Nagoya Grampus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.49% ( 2.25) | 25.5% ( -2.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.65% ( 2.98) | 60.35% ( -2.98) |
| Albirex Niigata Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.5% ( -0.83) | 32.5% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.97% ( -0.95) | 69.03% ( 0.94) |
| Score Analysis |
Nagoya Grampus 42.36%
Albirex Niigata 30.82%
Draw 26.81%
| Nagoya Grampus | Draw | Albirex Niigata |
| 1-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.39)2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.52)3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.41)3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.44)3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.22)4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.22)Other @ 2.33% Total : 42.36% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.5)2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.79) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.58)1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.27)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 30.82% |
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 6am
Form Guide
