MX23RW : Tuesday, October 1 07:00:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jul 8, 2023 at 11am UK
SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium

Reysol
1 - 1
Shonan Bellmare

Hosoya (27')
Diego (58')
Tatsuta (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ohno (90+3')
Yamamoto (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Shonan Bellmare, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-0 Reysol
Saturday, July 1 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 4-1 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, July 2 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Shonan Bellmare

Shonan Bellmare are the only side in the Japanese top flight without a clean sheet so far, and we expect that to continue here. We are also backing Kashiwa Reysol to narrowly edge out their visitors and come away with all three points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Kashiwa ReysolDrawShonan Bellmare
44.88% (0.223 0.22) 26.77% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 28.34% (-0.207 -0.21)
Both teams to score 49.18% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.55% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)55.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.36% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)76.63%
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.4% (0.10199999999999 0.1)24.6% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.9% (0.148 0.15)59.09% (-0.157 -0.16)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22% (-0.163 -0.16)34.77% (0.155 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (-0.174 -0.17)71.51% (0.16600000000001 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Kashiwa Reysol 44.88%
    Shonan Bellmare 28.34%
    Draw 26.77%
Kashiwa ReysolDrawShonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 11.99% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.41% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.16% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.93% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 44.88%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.55% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.04% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.69% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 28.34%

How you voted: Reysol vs Shonan Bellmare

Kashiwa Reysol
85.7%
Draw
0.0%
Shonan Bellmare
14.3%
7
Head to Head
May 3, 2023 7am
Gameweek 11
Shonan Bellmare
1-2
Reysol
Sugioka (45+5')
Savio (28'), Hosoya (55')
Nov 5, 2022 5am
Feb 19, 2022 6am
Jun 27, 2021 11am
Gameweek 20
Shonan Bellmare
2-4
Reysol
Machino (18'), Wellington (78')
Riuler (48')
Raul (50' pen., 90+12'), Ominami (90+3'), Da Silva (90+9')
Richardson (75'), Raul (82')
Mar 6, 2021 7am
Gameweek 2
Reysol
2-1
Shonan Bellmare
Goya (14', 66')
Okamoto (43')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima321711463323162
2Vissel KobeVissel Kobe32187751302161
3Machida Zelvia32178746242259
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers3114894839950
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka31131173526950
6Tokyo Verdy32121284242048
7FC Tokyo32138114643347
8Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus32144144038246
9Cerezo OsakaCerezo31101293840-242
10Yokohama F MarinosYokohama31125145253-141
11Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki311010115045540
12Avispa Fukuoka32913102833-540
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa30109114340339
14Albirex Niigata32109134351-839
15Kyoto Sanga31108133750-1338
16Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare3298154450-635
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol31811123444-1035
18Jubilo Iwata3188153651-1532
19Consadole SapporoConsadole3278173657-2129
20Sagan Tosu3274213862-2425


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