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J1 League | Gameweek 17
May 31, 2024 at 11am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Sagan Tosu
vs.
FC Tokyo

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and FC Tokyo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-2 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, May 18 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 0-1 Gamba Osaka
Sunday, May 26 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Sagan Tosu has a probability of 31.12% and a draw has a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win is 1-0 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.71%).

Result
Sagan TosuDrawFC Tokyo
31.12% (0.634 0.63) 24.87% (0.346 0.35) 44.01% (-0.975 -0.98)
Both teams to score 56.7% (-0.848 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.62% (-1.258 -1.26)46.39% (1.262 1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.34% (-1.194 -1.19)68.67% (1.197 1.2)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88% (-0.206 -0.21)28.12% (0.21 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21% (-0.265 -0.27)63.8% (0.267 0.27)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.88% (-0.949 -0.95)21.12% (0.952 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.04% (-1.5 -1.5)53.96% (1.504 1.5)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 31.12%
    FC Tokyo 44.01%
    Draw 24.86%
Sagan TosuDrawFC Tokyo
1-0 @ 7.54% (0.352 0.35)
2-1 @ 7.43% (0.093 0.09)
2-0 @ 4.78% (0.196 0.2)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.02% (0.071 0.07)
4-1 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 31.12%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 5.94% (0.31 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.86%
0-1 @ 9.24% (0.223 0.22)
1-2 @ 9.11% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
0-2 @ 7.18% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.72% (-0.193 -0.19)
0-3 @ 3.72% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-3 @ 3% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.84% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.45% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 44.01%

Who will win Friday's J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and FC Tokyo?

Sagan Tosu
Draw
FC Tokyo
Sagan Tosu
0.0%
Draw
100%
FC Tokyo
0.0%
1
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 7am
Gameweek 28
FC Tokyo
3-2
Sagan Tosu
Adailton (54'), Watanabe (59'), Tawaratsumida (87')
Trevisan (30')
Naganuma (18'), Togashi (32' pen.)
Apr 1, 2023 7am
Jun 26, 2022 11am
Gameweek 18
Sagan Tosu
5-0
FC Tokyo
Iwasaki (30'), Diego (48'), Honda (70'), Kakita (78', 85')
Diego (42'), Seok-Ho (90+1')
May 8, 2022 7am
Gameweek 12
FC Tokyo
0-1
Sagan Tosu

Slowik (51'), Yamashita (52'), Matsuki (70')
Horigome (81')
Harada (27'), Fukuta (28')
Aug 9, 2021 11am
Gameweek 23
Sagan Tosu
1-0
FC Tokyo
Sento (7')
Seok-Ho (59')

Oumari (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Machida Zelvia16112327121535
2Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers16102427171032
3Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1692524121229
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka168441511428
5Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus168261917226
6Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa167362622424
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo166642218424
8Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima1558226151123
9FC Tokyo166552625123
10Kashiwa ReysolReysol155731717022
11Avispa Fukuoka165741517-222
12Tokyo Verdy164932123-221
13Jubilo Iwata165382224-218
14Yokohama F MarinosYokohama134541818017
15Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki164572324-117
16Albirex Niigata164481925-616
17Sagan Tosu154292127-614
18Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare163582230-814
19Consadole SapporoConsadole162591331-1811
20Kyoto Sanga1624101230-1810


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