MX23RW : Friday, November 22 22:54:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 4
Mar 12, 2023 at 5am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
2 - 1
Sagan Tosu

Kagawa (38'), Kato (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Honda (86')
Fujita (42'), Naganuma (49')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last Game: Urawa 2-1 Cerezo
Saturday, March 4 at 6am in J1 League

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, March 4 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawSagan Tosu
46.29% (0.157 0.16) 25.45% (-0.302 -0.3) 28.25% (0.142 0.14)
Both teams to score 53.11% (1.05 1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.69% (1.322 1.32)50.31% (-1.323 -1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.74% (1.161 1.16)72.26% (-1.163 -1.16)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.27% (0.627 0.63)21.73% (-0.629 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.1% (0.949 0.95)54.9% (-0.951 -0.95)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.86% (0.803 0.8)32.14% (-0.804 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.38% (0.901 0.9)68.62% (-0.90300000000001 -0.9)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 46.29%
    Sagan Tosu 28.26%
    Draw 25.45%
Cerezo OsakaDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 10.66% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.14% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.117 0.12)
3-0 @ 4.14% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.123 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.077 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.58% (0.035 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 46.29%
1-1 @ 12.1% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.381 -0.38)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.148 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 7.93% (-0.251 -0.25)
1-2 @ 6.87% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.097 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 28.26%

Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 11am
Cerezo
2-1
Sagan Tosu
Suzuki (52'), Patric (90+3')
Matsuda (66')
Honda (82')
May 3, 2022 7am
Sagan Tosu
1-1
Cerezo
Fujita (83')
Tashiro (71')
Mendes (73' pen.)
Okuno (52')
Jul 24, 2021 11am
Sagan Tosu
3-3
Cerezo
Sakai (1'), Koyamatsu (8'), Higuchi (45+1')
Iino (51')
Kato (18', 69'), Sakamoto (87' pen.)
Matsuda (65'), Matsuda (90+5')
Apr 2, 2021 11am
Cerezo
1-0
Sagan Tosu
Okuno (46')

Sento (42'), Seok-Ho (55'), Dudu (81')
Seok-Ho (77')
Dec 16, 2020 10am
Cerezo
1-2
Sagan Tosu
Toyokawa (44')
Higuchi (22'), Alves (90+1')
Nakano (24'), Lopez (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
19-24
Browns
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers361611955401559
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama36147155858049
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
11Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
12Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa351210134843546
13Kyoto Sanga361210144354-1146
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki351112125751645
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3698194564-1935
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629
> J1 League Full Table


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