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La Liga | Gameweek 38
Jun 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
RCDE Stadium
Almeria

Espanyol
3 - 3
Almeria

Puado (13'), Pierre-Gabriel (49'), Koleosho (73')
Olivan (30'), Montes (41')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bilal Toure (10'), Embarba (58', 87' pen.)
Pozo (30'), Samu (45'), Ramazani (87'), Melero (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Espanyol and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 2-2 Espanyol
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 0-0 Valladolid
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Espanyol 1-1 Almeria

Almeria have won just one of their 18 away league games this season, and with Espanyol unbeaten in three matches, we think that the visitors will have to be content with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 48.6%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
EspanyolDrawAlmeria
48.6% (0.099000000000004 0.1) 25.43% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05) 25.97% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.43% (0.131 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.33% (0.189 0.19)51.67% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.55% (0.163 0.16)73.45% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)
Espanyol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.73% (0.121 0.12)21.27% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.8% (0.187 0.19)54.19% (-0.189 -0.19)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.32% (0.064999999999998 0.06)34.67% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.6% (0.068000000000001 0.07)71.4% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Espanyol 48.6%
    Almeria 25.97%
    Draw 25.42%
EspanyolDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 11.41% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.84% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.56% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.76% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 48.6%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.38% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 7.81% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.14% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 25.97%

How you voted: Espanyol vs Almeria

Espanyol
51.8%
Draw
25.0%
Almeria
23.2%
56
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2023 8pm
gameweek 19
Almeria
3-1
Espanyol
Suarez Charris (21'), Baptistao (61'), Portillo (77')
Joselu (90+3')
Apr 19, 2021 8pm
gameweek 35
Almeria
1-1
Espanyol
Sadiq (50')
Makaridze (71')
Dimata (58')
Darder (74')
Dec 20, 2020 3pm
Jan 25, 2015 6pm
Espanyol
3-0
Almeria
Stuani (37', 40'), Caicedo (74')
Gonzalez (51'), Canas (58')

Partey (39')
Aug 23, 2014 10pm
Almeria
1-1
Espanyol
Soriano (52')
Trujillo (18'), Antonio Rabasco (50'), Partey (83')
Garcia (94')
Arbilla (18'), Garcia (65'), Sanchez (88')
Arbilla (33')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Barcelona19122551222938
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla176471823-522
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe183781115-416
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
20Valencia162591424-1011


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