Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 48.6%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Almeria |
48.6% ( 0.1) | 25.43% ( -0.05) | 25.97% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 51.43% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.33% ( 0.19) | 51.67% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.55% ( 0.16) | 73.45% ( -0.17) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.73% ( 0.12) | 21.27% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.8% ( 0.19) | 54.19% ( -0.19) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.32% ( 0.06) | 34.67% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.6% ( 0.07) | 71.4% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Almeria |
1-0 @ 11.41% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.84% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 48.6% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 25.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |