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La Liga | Gameweek 38
Jun 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
RCDE Stadium
Almeria

Espanyol
3 - 3
Almeria

Puado (13'), Pierre-Gabriel (49'), Koleosho (73')
Olivan (30'), Montes (41')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bilal Toure (10'), Embarba (58', 87' pen.)
Pozo (30'), Samu (45'), Ramazani (87'), Melero (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Espanyol and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 2-2 Espanyol
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 0-0 Valladolid
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Espanyol 1-1 Almeria

Almeria have won just one of their 18 away league games this season, and with Espanyol unbeaten in three matches, we think that the visitors will have to be content with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 48.6%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
EspanyolDrawAlmeria
48.6% (0.099000000000004 0.1) 25.43% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05) 25.97% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.43% (0.131 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.33% (0.189 0.19)51.67% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.55% (0.163 0.16)73.45% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)
Espanyol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.73% (0.121 0.12)21.27% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.8% (0.187 0.19)54.19% (-0.189 -0.19)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.32% (0.064999999999998 0.06)34.67% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.6% (0.068000000000001 0.07)71.4% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Espanyol 48.6%
    Almeria 25.97%
    Draw 25.42%
EspanyolDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 11.41% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.84% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.56% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.76% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 48.6%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.38% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 7.81% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.14% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 25.97%

How you voted: Espanyol vs Almeria

Espanyol
51.8%
Draw
25.0%
Almeria
23.2%
56
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2023 8pm
gameweek 19
Almeria
3-1
Espanyol
Suarez Charris (21'), Baptistao (61'), Portillo (77')
Joselu (90+3')
Apr 19, 2021 8pm
gameweek 35
Almeria
1-1
Espanyol
Sadiq (50')
Makaridze (71')
Dimata (58')
Darder (74')
Dec 20, 2020 3pm
Jan 25, 2015 6pm
Espanyol
3-0
Almeria
Stuani (37', 40'), Caicedo (74')
Gonzalez (51'), Canas (58')

Partey (39')
Aug 23, 2014 10pm
Almeria
1-1
Espanyol
Soriano (52')
Trujillo (18'), Antonio Rabasco (50'), Partey (83')
Garcia (94')
Arbilla (18'), Garcia (65'), Sanchez (88')
Arbilla (33')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona87012591621
2Real Madrid75201651117
3Atletico MadridAtletico7430113815
4Athletic Bilbao8422128414
5Mallorca842286214
6Villarreal74211414014
7Osasuna84221213-114
8Real BetisBetis833287112
9Rayo Vallecano824298110
10Celta Vigo83141515010
11AlavesAlaves83141112-110
12GironaGirona8233911-29
13Sevilla8233810-29
14Real Sociedad822467-18
15Getafe814356-17
16Leganes814359-47
17Espanyol8215712-57
18Valencia8125513-85
19Real ValladolidValladolid8125417-135
20Las PalmasLas Palmas7034813-53


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