Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Guadalajara had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Guadalajara win was 1-0 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.