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La Liga | Gameweek 30
Mar 29, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Granada logo

Cadiz
1 - 0
Granada

Navarro (51')
Chust (70'), Alejo (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sanchez (30'), Ruiz (45'), Rubio (70'), Corbeanu (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Granada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-0 Cadiz
Friday, March 15 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Granada
Saturday, March 16 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Cadiz 2-1 Granada

There is no downplaying the importance of this contest to both sides, and we are expecting a close match on Friday. Granada have quality in the forward areas, and we are backing them to score, but it is tough to predict a clean sheet for the visitors, and Cadiz could shade this relegation six-pointer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Granada had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cadiz in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cadiz.

Result
CadizDrawGranada
45.01% (0.207 0.21) 27.43% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 27.56% (-0.231 -0.23)
Both teams to score 46.81% (-0.212 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.76% (-0.2 -0.2)58.24% (0.2 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.13% (-0.156 -0.16)78.87% (0.15600000000001 0.16)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.21% (0.012999999999991 0.01)25.79% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.26% (0.019000000000005 0.02)60.74% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.08% (-0.298 -0.3)36.92% (0.299 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.29% (-0.298 -0.3)73.7% (0.29799999999999 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 45.01%
    Granada 27.56%
    Draw 27.42%
CadizDrawGranada
1-0 @ 12.9% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 8.74% (0.073 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.95% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.94% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 45.01%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 9.52% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.42%
0-1 @ 9.49% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.73% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 27.56%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Granada

Cadiz
61.3%
Draw
29.3%
Granada
9.3%
75
Head to Head
Jan 3, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 19
Granada
2-0
Cadiz
Uzuni (22'), Zaragoza (70')
Sanchez (64'), Boye (65'), Miquel (86')

Alcaraz (21'), Fernandez (42'), Ramos (43'), Fali (90+8')
Sobrino (54')
Feb 28, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 26
Granada
0-0
Cadiz
Sanchez (35'), Uzuni (42'), Torrente (79')
Duarte (33')
Arzamendia (32'), Alcaraz (48'), Fede (74')
Dec 13, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 17
Cadiz
1-1
Granada
Arzamendia (32')
Lozano (37'), Salvi (61'), Cala (90+1'), Mauro (90+4')
Salvi (90+3')
Molina (88')
Sanchez (37')
May 2, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 34
Granada
0-1
Cadiz
Sobrino (39')
Suarez Charris (66'), Gonalons (72'), Negredo (74'), Sobrino (75'), Quini (77'), Soldado (87'), Montoro (88'), Escandell (90+3')
Soldado (87')
Oct 4, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Cadiz
1-1
Granada
Alejo (48')
Mari (45'), Espino (60')
Sanchez (27')
Sanchez (53'), Kenedy (56')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
13Sevilla186482027-722
14Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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