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La Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 12, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Balaídos
Atletico Madrid logo

Celta Vigo
0 - 1
Atletico


Aidoo (4'), Veiga (8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Depay (89')
Mandava (41'), Simeone (72'), Molina (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Betis 3-4 Celta Vigo
Saturday, February 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 1-1 Getafe
Saturday, February 4 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Atletico Madrid

Atletico are difficult to back with any real confidence at the moment, with the Red and Whites finding it difficult to show their best form. We are not expecting Simeone's side to lose, but Celta are not being beaten at the moment, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw in Vigo. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.96%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-0 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawAtletico Madrid
23.3% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1) 26.2% (0.17 0.17) 50.5% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 46.64% (-0.569 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.34% (-0.693 -0.69)56.65% (0.693 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.38% (-0.561 -0.56)77.62% (0.56099999999999 0.56)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.18% (-0.48 -0.48)39.81% (0.48 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.52% (-0.444 -0.44)76.48% (0.44399999999999 0.44)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (-0.325 -0.33)22.51% (0.325 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.92% (-0.487 -0.49)56.08% (0.48699999999999 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 23.3%
    Atletico Madrid 50.5%
    Draw 26.19%
Celta VigoDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.25% (0.111 0.11)
2-1 @ 5.67% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-0 @ 3.8% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-1 @ 1.74% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.3% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.17% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 23.3%
1-1 @ 12.3% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.96% (0.236 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 13.36% (0.23 0.23)
0-2 @ 9.96% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
1-2 @ 9.18% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
0-3 @ 4.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.56% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.85% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.7% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 50.5%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Atletico

Celta Vigo
20.2%
Draw
22.8%
Atletico Madrid
57.0%
114
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 8pm
Atletico
4-1
Celta Vigo
Correa (9'), De Paul (50'), Carrasco (66'), Nunez (82' og.)
Hermoso (16')
Veiga (71')
Feb 26, 2022 8pm
Atletico
2-0
Celta Vigo
Lodi (36', 60')
Savic (12'), Gimenez (15'), Oblak (20'), Mandava (50')

Aspas (17'), Araujo (71'), Galhardo (84')
Aug 15, 2021 4.30pm
Celta Vigo
1-2
Atletico
Aspas (59' pen.)
Suarez (77'), Solari (86'), Fontan (90'), Aspas (90+5')
Mallo (90+5')
Correa (23', 64')
Lemar (11'), Llorente (57'), Kondogbia (61'), Carrasco (90+2'), Gimenez (90+8')
Hermoso (90+5')
Feb 8, 2021 8pm
Atletico
2-2
Celta Vigo
Suarez (45', 50')
Felipe (23'), Gimenez (67')
Mina (13'), Ferreyra (89')
Tapia (5'), Suarez (78')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Celta Vigo
0-2
Atletico

Beltran (41'), Nolito (63'), Aspas (83')
Suarez (6'), Carrasco (90+5')
Hermoso (17'), Costa (37'), Felipe (71'), Herrera (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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