La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 18

Jan 22, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Elche
1 - 1
Osasuna

Angel Carmona (67')
Angel Carmona (13'), Blanco (45')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Avila (20')
Avila (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Elche and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elche

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Cadiz 1-1 Elche
Monday, January 16 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Osasuna

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Betis 2-2 Osasuna (2-4 pen.)
Wednesday, January 18 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

With neither side exactly free-scoring, it is hard to envisage a classic encounter unfolding at Estadio Manuel Martinez Valero on Sunday afternoon. However, the visitors' defence has proven far more efficient than struggling Elche's this season, and we expect a marginal Osasuna victory as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Elche had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Elche	Draw	Osasuna
30.78% ( -0.17)	25.98% ( -0)	43.25% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 52.89% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.74% (

-0.05)

51.26% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.91% (

-0.04)

73.09% (

0.04)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.2% (

-0.14)

30.8% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.93% (

-0.16)

67.07% (

0.17)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.44% (

0.06)

23.56% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.38% (

0.09)

57.62% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Elche 30.78%

Osasuna 43.25%

Draw 25.97%

Elche	Draw	Osasuna
1-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.03% Total : 30.78%	1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.97%	0-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 43.25%