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League One
Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 35
Feb 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Derby logo

Barnsley
2 - 1
Derby

Phillips (33', 66')
Earl (79'), Cosgrove (86'), Cole (90+1'), Roberts (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bradley (18')
Nelson (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Barnsley
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One

Derby County

All competitions
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Stevenage
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 1-1 Derby County

 With both sides boasting plenty of quality throughout their ranks, we anticipate a tight and cagey encounter at Oakwell on Saturday given the high stakes. We cannot quite pick a winner between two in-form teams and instead anticipate a share of the spoils in South Yorkshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Barnsley has a probability of 35.4% and a draw has a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Barnsley win is 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.32%).

Result
BarnsleyDrawDerby County
35.4% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 25.94% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 38.65% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 54.34% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50% (0.086000000000006 0.09)50% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.02% (0.076000000000001 0.08)71.98% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.8% (0.048999999999992 0.05)27.2% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.39% (0.068000000000005 0.07)62.61% (-0.067 -0.07)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.64% (0.039999999999992 0.04)25.36% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.85% (0.055999999999997 0.06)60.15% (-0.055 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 35.4%
    Derby County 38.65%
    Draw 25.94%
BarnsleyDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 8.98% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.48% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 35.4%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.9% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 9.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.45% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 6.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 38.65%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Derby

Barnsley
33.3%
Draw
0.0%
Derby County
66.7%
15
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Derby
3-0
Barnsley
Collins (35' pen., 63'), Forsyth (48')
Collins (17'), Forsyth (36')

Russell (65')
> Preview
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Barnsley
4-1
Derby
Cole (21', 45+2'), Phillips (33'), Thomas (90+4')
McGoldrick (35')
Jan 8, 2023 12.30pm
Third Round
Derby
3-0
Barnsley
Collins (45+1' pen.), Barkhuizen (60'), Knight (79')
> Preview
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Derby
2-1
Barnsley
McCarthy (8' og.), Mendez-Laing (35')
Cashin (47')
Benson (64')
McCarthy (62')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Derby
2-0
Barnsley
Morrison (22', 47')

Wolfe (7'), Morris (90+4')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


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