League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Port Vale2 - 3Barnsley
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wycombe 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Stevenage
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One
We said: Port Vale 1-3 Barnsley
Barnsley are one of the best sides on the road this season, losing just one away match so far. While Port Vale might have found their rhythm in recent matches, this test may prove too big for them against a team that has dominated them lately. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Barnsley |
31.83% ( 0.02) | 25.3% ( 0.15) | 42.87% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 55.56% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.99% ( -0.67) | 48.01% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.82% ( -0.62) | 70.18% ( 0.62) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.54% ( -0.31) | 28.46% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.78% ( -0.4) | 64.22% ( 0.4) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.66% ( -0.37) | 22.34% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.18% ( -0.55) | 55.82% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
Port Vale 31.83%
Barnsley 42.87%
Draw 25.3%
| Port Vale | Draw | Barnsley |
| 1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.1% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.69% Total : 31.83% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.28% Total : 42.87% |
How you voted: Port Vale vs Barnsley
Port Vale
17.6%Draw
5.9%Barnsley
76.5%17
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Nov 23, 2022 7.30pm
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Form Guide
