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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Barnsley
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Cole (43'), O'Keeffe (73')
McAtee (21'), Durand de Gevigney (67'), Kane (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Martin (68')
Evans (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 1-1 Wigan
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 2-1 Bristol Rovers

Bristol Rovers will certainly pose a tough test at Oakwell and have the quality to hurt Barnsley, but the Reds do have more quality throughout their squad, and with plenty of momentum of their own, we fancy Collins's men to come out on top in South Yorkshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 55.06%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 22.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barnsley in this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawBristol Rovers
55.06% (0.063000000000002 0.06) 22.33% (-0.026 -0.03) 22.6% (-0.038 -0.04)
Both teams to score 57.76% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.46% (0.071000000000005 0.07)41.54% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.06% (0.071999999999996 0.07)63.94% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.99% (0.046000000000006 0.05)15.01% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.53% (0.086999999999996 0.09)43.47% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.96% (0.007000000000005 0.01)32.04% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.49% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)68.51% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 55.06%
    Bristol Rovers 22.61%
    Draw 22.33%
BarnsleyDrawBristol Rovers
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.12% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.65%
3-1 @ 6.22% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.95% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.59% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.68% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 55.06%
1-1 @ 10.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.81% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.33%
1-2 @ 5.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.47% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 22.61%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Bristol Rovers

Barnsley
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Bristol Rovers
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Barnsley
Sinclair (81')
Cadden (7')
Cotter (23'), Russell (63'), Kane (82')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Barnsley
3-0
Bristol Rovers
Cole (3'), Williams (13'), Benson (56')

Finley (35'), Coutts (35'), Connolly (58')
May 4, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 46
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Barnsley
Rodman (71', 92')
Upson (77')
Moore (12')
Lindsay (37'), Mowatt (56')
Lindsay (44')
Oct 27, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Barnsley
1-0
Bristol Rovers
Mowatt (11')
Moncur (39'), Mowatt (45'), Davies (90')

Kelly (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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