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Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 39
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Carlisle United

Shrewsbury
1 - 0
Carlisle

Udoh (40')
Perry (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Neal (4'), McGeouch (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Exeter
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 2-3 Barnsley
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-0 Carlisle United

Shrewsbury will certainly be wounded by their heavy midweek defeat, but with home advantage back on their side against a Carlisle team in the midst of a rut, we fancy them to bounce back on Saturday and come out on top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shrewsbury Town in this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawCarlisle United
35.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 27.35% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 37.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.79% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.23% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)55.77% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.1% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)76.9% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (-0.041000000000011 -0.04)29.9% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)65.99% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.03% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)28.97% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.14% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)64.86% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 35.56%
    Carlisle United 37.08%
    Draw 27.34%
Shrewsbury TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 6.31%
3-1 @ 3.15% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 35.56%
1-1 @ 12.95%
0-0 @ 8.66% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.34%
0-1 @ 10.73% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.03% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 6.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 37.08%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Carlisle

Shrewsbury Town
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Carlisle United
33.3%
12
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Carlisle
2-0
Shrewsbury
Bayliss (57' og.), Garner (90+6')
Guy (82'), Garner (90+6')

Bowman (45'), Feeney (62'), Winchester (75'), Anderson (90+1')
Aug 9, 2022 7.30pm
First Round
Shrewsbury
3-2
Carlisle
Leahy (45+1'), Udoh (75'), Dunkley (86')
Shipley (90+5')
Edmondson (13'), Dennis (81')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Second Round
Carlisle
1-2
Shrewsbury
Gibson (90+1')
Whelan (8'), Clough (30'), Feeney (60')
Bloxham (10'), Bowman (78')
Pennington (25'), Vela (49'), Udoh (54')
Feb 10, 2015 7.45pm
Carlisle
1-2
Shrewsbury
Wyke (66')
Meppen-Walters (63')
Collins (94'), Demetriou (93')
Collins (95')
Sep 16, 2014 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham8710178922
2Wrexham9522147717
3Mansfield TownMansfield85211511417
4Stockport CountyStockport8431137615
5Lincoln CityLincoln8431137615
6Blackpool94321714315
7Barnsley94321513215
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe84221613314
9Stevenage942375214
10Exeter CityExeter841396313
11Bolton WanderersBolton84131313013
12Reading84131212013
13Charlton AthleticCharlton941499013
14Wigan AthleticWigan933395412
15Huddersfield TownHuddersfield94051211112
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough93241417-311
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham9243710-310
18Bristol Rovers93151015-510
19Northampton TownNorthampton82241013-38
20Leyton Orient9225912-38
21Crawley TownCrawley8215512-77
22Burton Albion8044916-74
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury9117615-94
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge8017616-101


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