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League One
Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 39
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Carlisle United

Shrewsbury
1 - 0
Carlisle

Udoh (40')
Perry (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Neal (4'), McGeouch (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Exeter
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 2-3 Barnsley
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-0 Carlisle United

 Shrewsbury will certainly be wounded by their heavy midweek defeat, but with home advantage back on their side against a Carlisle team in the midst of a rut, we fancy them to bounce back on Saturday and come out on top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shrewsbury Town in this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawCarlisle United
35.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 27.35% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 37.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.79% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.23% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)55.77% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.1% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)76.9% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (-0.041000000000011 -0.04)29.9% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)65.99% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.03% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)28.97% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.14% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)64.86% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 35.56%
    Carlisle United 37.08%
    Draw 27.34%
Shrewsbury TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 6.31%
3-1 @ 3.15% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 35.56%
1-1 @ 12.95%
0-0 @ 8.66% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.34%
0-1 @ 10.73% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.03% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 6.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 37.08%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Carlisle

Shrewsbury Town
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Carlisle United
33.3%
12
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Carlisle
2-0
Shrewsbury
Bayliss (57' og.), Garner (90+6')
Guy (82'), Garner (90+6')

Bowman (45'), Feeney (62'), Winchester (75'), Anderson (90+1')
Aug 9, 2022 7.30pm
First Round
Shrewsbury
3-2
Carlisle
Leahy (45+1'), Udoh (75'), Dunkley (86')
Shipley (90+5')
Edmondson (13'), Dennis (81')
> Preview
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Second Round
Carlisle
1-2
Shrewsbury
Gibson (90+1')
Whelan (8'), Clough (30'), Feeney (60')
Bloxham (10'), Bowman (78')
Pennington (25'), Vela (49'), Udoh (54')
> Preview
Feb 10, 2015 7.45pm
Carlisle
1-2
Shrewsbury
Wyke (66')
Meppen-Walters (63')
Collins (94'), Demetriou (93')
Collins (95')
Sep 16, 2014 7.45pm
Shrewsbury
1-0
Carlisle
Grandison (42')

Dempsey (38'), Thirlwell (84')
Thirlwell (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628
> League One Full Table


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