Oxford United have enjoyed this fixture in recent seasons, taking victories from four of their last five trips to Shrewsbury and scoring three goals in three of these victories.
While the visitors have scored a lot this season, they are also prone to conceding their fair share of goals, and we expect the hosts to get on the scoresheet in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
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