Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.