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Championship header 2

League One
Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
Exeter City

Portsmouth
2 - 0
Exeter

Pack (57'), Morrell (74')
Thompson (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hartridge (70'), White (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bolton 3-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Forest Green
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Portsmouth 1-1 Exeter City

 Although Portsmouth will be looking to end their 10-game winless run, we think that they will have to settle for a point against an Exeter side who are unbeaten in four matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 24.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawExeter City
52.01% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 23.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 24.29% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 55.23% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.13% (0.016999999999996 0.02)45.87% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.82% (0.015000000000001 0.02)68.18% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)17.63% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.77% (0.016999999999996 0.02)48.24% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.05% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)32.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.47% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)69.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 52%
    Exeter City 24.29%
    Draw 23.7%
PortsmouthDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.75% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.12% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 52%
1-1 @ 11.19%
0-0 @ 5.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.7%
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 24.29%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Exeter

Portsmouth
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Exeter City
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Exeter
0-0
Portsmouth

Stansfield (31')
Jan 7, 2022 7.30pm
Second Round
Exeter
2-3
Portsmouth
Jay (6'), Collins (76')
Hirst (5'), Curtis (89', 90+3')
Morrell (35'), Raggett (64'), Curtis (90+4')
Feb 18, 2020 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Portsmouth
3-2
Exeter
Harness (86'), McGeehan (90'), Marquis (90')
Taylor (79'), Burgess (89' og.)
Fisher (50'), Warren (59')
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Portsmouth
0-1
Exeter

Clarke (68'), Forde (79')
Wheeler (57')
Reid (78')
Aug 27, 2016 3pm
Exeter
0-1
Portsmouth

Harley (25'), Sweeney (85'), Riley-Lowe (90')
Roberts (85' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124
> League One Full Table


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