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Championship header 2

League One
Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
Exeter City

Portsmouth
2 - 0
Exeter

Pack (57'), Morrell (74')
Thompson (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hartridge (70'), White (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bolton 3-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Forest Green
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Portsmouth 1-1 Exeter City

 Although Portsmouth will be looking to end their 10-game winless run, we think that they will have to settle for a point against an Exeter side who are unbeaten in four matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 24.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawExeter City
52.01% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 23.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 24.29% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 55.23% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.13% (0.016999999999996 0.02)45.87% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.82% (0.015000000000001 0.02)68.18% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)17.63% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.77% (0.016999999999996 0.02)48.24% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.05% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)32.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.47% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)69.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 52%
    Exeter City 24.29%
    Draw 23.7%
PortsmouthDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.75% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.12% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 52%
1-1 @ 11.19%
0-0 @ 5.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.7%
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 24.29%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Exeter

Portsmouth
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Exeter City
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Exeter
0-0
Portsmouth

Stansfield (31')
Jan 7, 2022 7.30pm
Second Round
Exeter
2-3
Portsmouth
Jay (6'), Collins (76')
Hirst (5'), Curtis (89', 90+3')
Morrell (35'), Raggett (64'), Curtis (90+4')
Feb 18, 2020 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Portsmouth
3-2
Exeter
Harness (86'), McGeehan (90'), Marquis (90')
Taylor (79'), Burgess (89' og.)
Fisher (50'), Warren (59')
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Portsmouth
0-1
Exeter

Clarke (68'), Forde (79')
Wheeler (57')
Reid (78')
Aug 27, 2016 3pm
Exeter
0-1
Portsmouth

Harley (25'), Sweeney (85'), Riley-Lowe (90')
Roberts (85' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham29216251193269
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe30179456312560
3Wrexham30177645252058
4Stockport CountyStockport32169749301957
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield30157843271652
6Leyton Orient301551046271950
7Charlton AthleticCharlton31148940301050
8Bolton WanderersBolton31155115048250
9Reading31147104643349
10Barnsley31127124343043
11Blackpool3191484544141
12Stevenage30118112931-241
13Lincoln CityLincoln311010113838040
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham31108133537-238
15Mansfield TownMansfield30115143841-338
16Exeter CityExeter30105153446-1235
17Bristol Rovers30105153246-1435
18Wigan AthleticWigan2997132730-334
19Northampton TownNorthampton3189142947-1833
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough3187164758-1131
21Crawley TownCrawley3077163454-2028
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3176183353-2027
23Burton Albion31511153248-1626
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge3158183056-2623
> League One Full Table


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