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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | MK Dons |
30.31% | 25.95% | 43.74% |
Both teams to score 52.75% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.66% | 51.34% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.83% | 73.16% |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.82% | 31.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.49% | 67.51% |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.64% | 23.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.68% | 57.32% |
Score Analysis |
Gillingham | Draw | MK Dons |
1-0 @ 8.49% 2-1 @ 7.19% 2-0 @ 4.95% 3-1 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2.03% 3-0 @ 1.92% Other @ 2.93% Total : 30.31% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.28% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 10.58% 1-2 @ 8.98% 0-2 @ 7.7% 1-3 @ 4.35% 0-3 @ 3.73% 2-3 @ 2.54% 1-4 @ 1.58% 0-4 @ 1.36% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2% Total : 43.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |