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Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Burton Albion

Morecambe
5 - 0
Burton Albion

Phillips (32', 55'), Weir (45+1'), Watts (51', 83')
Watts (66')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Taylor (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Morecambe and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 2-0 Accrington
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Morecambe 1-1 Burton Albion

Having wrapped up the year with two consecutive victories, Burton Albion will head into 2023 with renewed confidence as they look to pull clear of the drop zone. Morecambe also appear to have also hit their stride and we predict that both sides will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawBurton Albion
32.68% (0.022000000000006 0.02) 27.59% (0.014999999999997 0.01) 39.73% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.62% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.97% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)57.03% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.08% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)77.92% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.57% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)32.43% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.05% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)68.95% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.96% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)28.04% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.31% (-0.055 -0.05)63.69% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 32.68%
    Burton Albion 39.73%
    Draw 27.59%
MorecambeDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 10.24% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.33%
2-0 @ 5.77% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 2.16% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 32.68%
1-1 @ 13.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.09% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.59%
0-1 @ 11.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.28% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 39.73%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Burton Albion

Morecambe
34.6%
Draw
34.6%
Burton Albion
30.8%
26
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Oct 15, 2021 7.45pm
Burton Albion
3-2
Morecambe
O'Connor (5', 49'), Shaughnessy (14')
Hamer (34'), Chapman (57'), Mancienne (78'), Oshilaja (78')
Gibson (3'), Stockton (90+4')
Gibson (90')
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Burton Albion
4-0
Morecambe
Boyce (34', 45', 74'), Edwards (51')
Daniel (19')

Brewitt (58')
Apr 18, 2015 3pm
Morecambe
1-2
Burton Albion
Hughes (90')
Kenyon (8'), Ellison (40'), Arestidou (60')
Akins (30', 60')
Edwards (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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