League One

League One | Gameweek 25

Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK

Mazuma Stadium

Morecambe
5 - 0
Burton Albion

Phillips (32', 55'), Weir (45+1'), Watts (51', 83')
Watts (66')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Taylor (75')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Morecambe and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Morecambe 2-0 Accrington
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burton Albion

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Forest Green 1-2 Burton Albion
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Morecambe 1-1 Burton Albion

Having wrapped up the year with two consecutive victories, Burton Albion will head into 2023 with renewed confidence as they look to pull clear of the drop zone. Morecambe also appear to have also hit their stride and we predict that both sides will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Burton Albion
32.68% ( 0.02)	27.59% ( 0.01)	39.73% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 48.62% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.97% (

-0.05)

57.03% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.08% (

-0.04)

77.92% (

0.05)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.57% (

-0.01)

32.43% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.05% (

-0.01)

68.95% (

0.02)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.96% (

-0.04)

28.04% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.31% (

-0.05)

63.69% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Morecambe 32.68%

Burton Albion 39.73%

Draw 27.59%

Morecambe	Draw	Burton Albion
1-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.33% 2-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.68%	1-1 @ 13.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.59%	0-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.35% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.12% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.84% Total : 39.73%