League One

League One | Gameweek 33

Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
2 - 0
Charlton

McGoldrick (9' pen.), Cashin (69')
Barkhuizen (31')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Clare (4'), Hector (9'), Dobson (68')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Derby County and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Derby 1-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Charlton Athletic

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Forest Green 0-1 Charlton
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

We said: Derby County 3-1 Charlton Athletic

Derby have outscored all but two teams for home goals in League One, and they are backed to return to winning ways at Pride Park this weekend. Despite Charlton's run of wins on the road, that three-game streak is likely to end against a side that have not tasted defeat at their ground since late October. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 71.57%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 11.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 0-1 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Derby County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Derby County.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Charlton Athletic
71.57% ( -0.01)	17.28% ( 0)	11.15% ( 0)

Both teams to score 49.43% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.17% (

-0.01)

39.83% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.81% (

-0.01)

62.19% (

0.01)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.15% (

-0.01)

9.84% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.34% (

-0.01)

32.66% (

0.01)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.82%

45.17% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.93% (

-0)

81.07%

Score Analysis

Derby County 71.56%

Charlton Athletic 11.15%

Draw 17.28%

Derby County	Draw	Charlton Athletic
2-0 @ 11.94% 1-0 @ 10.3% 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0) 3-0 @ 9.24% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.34% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.35% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.25% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.48% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.97% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0) 6-0 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 3.62% Total : 71.56%	1-1 @ 8.19% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.77% Other @ 0.87% Total : 17.28%	0-1 @ 3.53% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.25% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.4% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.96% Total : 11.15%