League One

League One | Gameweek 42

Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
4 - 0
Fleetwood

Brannagan (14'), Harris (30', 83'), Dale (43')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Wiredu (35'), Lawal (48')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Oxford United and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-1 Oxford Utd
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fleetwood Town

All competitions

Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Cheltenham
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Oxford United 2-0 Fleetwood Town

While neither side have been in great form coming into this match, Oxford have picked up almost double the points of Fleetwood this season and are favourites to win this game. The visitors have won one game away from home since November - with a 2-0 victory against Bristol Rovers in February - while they have failed to win away against Oxford United since 2018. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 21.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 1-2 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Fleetwood Town
56.54% ( -0.15)	22.18% ( 0.02)	21.29% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 56.4% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.53% (

0.06)

42.47% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.13% (

0.06)

64.87% (

-0.06)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.16% (

-0.03)

14.84% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.84% (

-0.05)

43.16% (

0.05)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.23% (

0.15)

33.76% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.57% (

0.16)

70.42% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 56.54%

Fleetwood Town 21.29%

Draw 22.18%

Oxford United	Draw	Fleetwood Town
2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 56.54%	1-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.18%	1-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 21.29%