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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Portsmouth |
56.08% ( -0.01) | 24.12% ( 0) | 19.79% |
Both teams to score 48.02% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.51% ( -0.01) | 52.49% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.84% ( -0.01) | 74.16% ( 0) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.42% ( -0.01) | 18.58% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.15% ( -0.01) | 49.85% ( 0) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.98% ( -0) | 41.02% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.43% ( -0) | 77.57% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 12.82% 2-0 @ 10.79% 2-1 @ 9.62% 3-0 @ 6.06% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.4% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.55% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 2.27% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.15% Total : 56.07% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.12% | 0-1 @ 6.79% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.09% 0-2 @ 3.03% 1-3 @ 1.51% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.1% Total : 19.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 47 |
3 | Wrexham | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 45 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 42 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 36 |
6 | Reading | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 34 |
7 | Barnsley | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 33 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 31 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 31 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 31 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 30 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 30 |
13 | Leyton Orient | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 28 |
14 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 27 |
15 | Blackpool | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 27 |
16 | Stevenage | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 26 |
17 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 17 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 15 |
24 | Burton Albion | 21 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |