Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.