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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 1
Nov 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Swindon Town

Colchester
3 - 1
Swindon

Kinsella (49' og.), Tovide (64'), Chilvers (90+3')
Tovide (49')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Young (23')
Kemp (31'), Kinsella (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Colchester United 1-1 Swindon Town

There is plenty of uncertainty regarding how these two teams will fare this season after each losing a significant amount of players during the transfer window so far, but neither side should be majorly concerned about any relegation troubles. With that in mind, we can envisage a decent encounter with plenty of offensive quality on display, with both managers likely to settle for a share of the spoils to open the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.28%) and 0-2 (5.6%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawSwindon Town
37.42% (1.229 1.23) 24.07% (-0.084 -0.08) 38.5% (-1.15 -1.15)
Both teams to score 61.19% (0.415 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.78% (0.498 0.5)41.22% (-0.504 -0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.38% (0.506 0.51)63.61% (-0.511 -0.51)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.96% (0.858 0.86)22.04% (-0.864 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.63% (1.287 1.29)55.37% (-1.292 -1.29)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.49% (-0.34100000000001 -0.34)21.5% (0.335 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.45% (-0.523 -0.52)54.55% (0.518 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 37.42%
    Swindon Town 38.5%
    Draw 24.07%
Colchester UnitedDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 8.33% (0.154 0.15)
1-0 @ 7.17% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.42% (0.154 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.2% (0.182 0.18)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.108 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.73% (0.145 0.15)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.108 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.071 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 37.42%
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.4% (0.054 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.74% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.07%
1-2 @ 8.47% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-1 @ 7.28% (-0.244 -0.24)
0-2 @ 5.6% (-0.247 -0.25)
1-3 @ 4.34% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.87% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 38.5%

How you voted: Colchester vs Swindon

Colchester United
73.3%
Draw
6.7%
Swindon Town
20.0%
15
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Colchester
1-1
Swindon
Huws (90+2')
Tchamadeu (57'), Hannant (60'), Sears (90+5')
George (72'), Chambers (87')
McKirdy (68')
Lyden (43'), Conroy (90')
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Swindon
1-2
Colchester
Crichlow (45+1')
Francis (45+2'), Dabre (82')
Chambers (6', 11')
Judge (14'), Smith (40'), Jasper (55'), McCoulsky (90+1')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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