MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 21:45:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 1
Nov 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Swindon Town

Colchester
3 - 1
Swindon

Kinsella (49' og.), Tovide (64'), Chilvers (90+3')
Tovide (49')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Young (23')
Kemp (31'), Kinsella (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Colchester United 1-1 Swindon Town

There is plenty of uncertainty regarding how these two teams will fare this season after each losing a significant amount of players during the transfer window so far, but neither side should be majorly concerned about any relegation troubles. With that in mind, we can envisage a decent encounter with plenty of offensive quality on display, with both managers likely to settle for a share of the spoils to open the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.28%) and 0-2 (5.6%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawSwindon Town
37.42% (1.229 1.23) 24.07% (-0.084 -0.08) 38.5% (-1.15 -1.15)
Both teams to score 61.19% (0.415 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.78% (0.498 0.5)41.22% (-0.504 -0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.38% (0.506 0.51)63.61% (-0.511 -0.51)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.96% (0.858 0.86)22.04% (-0.864 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.63% (1.287 1.29)55.37% (-1.292 -1.29)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.49% (-0.34100000000001 -0.34)21.5% (0.335 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.45% (-0.523 -0.52)54.55% (0.518 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 37.42%
    Swindon Town 38.5%
    Draw 24.07%
Colchester UnitedDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 8.33% (0.154 0.15)
1-0 @ 7.17% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.42% (0.154 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.2% (0.182 0.18)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.108 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.73% (0.145 0.15)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.108 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.071 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 37.42%
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.4% (0.054 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.74% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.07%
1-2 @ 8.47% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-1 @ 7.28% (-0.244 -0.24)
0-2 @ 5.6% (-0.247 -0.25)
1-3 @ 4.34% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.87% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 38.5%

How you voted: Colchester vs Swindon

Colchester United
73.3%
Draw
6.7%
Swindon Town
20.0%
15
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Colchester
1-1
Swindon
Huws (90+2')
Tchamadeu (57'), Hannant (60'), Sears (90+5')
George (72'), Chambers (87')
McKirdy (68')
Lyden (43'), Conroy (90')
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Swindon
1-2
Colchester
Crichlow (45+1')
Francis (45+2'), Dabre (82')
Chambers (6', 11')
Judge (14'), Smith (40'), Jasper (55'), McCoulsky (90+1')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Lions
@
Bears
6pm
Browns
@
Bengals
6pm
Patriots
@
Bills
6pm
Titans
@
Colts
6pm
Giants
@
Falcons
6pm
Rams
@
Jets
6pm
Cardinals
@
Panthers
6pm
Eagles
@
Washington
9.05pm
Vikings
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
49ers
@
Dolphins
9.25pm
Jags
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!