Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AFC Wimbledon in this match.