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Championship header 2

League Two
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
AFC Wimbledon

Crawley
1 - 2
AFC Wimbledon

Wright (83')
Gladwin (51'), Conroy (69')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Davison (13'), Al-Hamadi (18')
Lewis (15'), Jackson (16'), Reeves (27'), Al-Hamadi (45+3'), Currie (90+8')
Jackson (0'), Lewis (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crawley 1-3 Mansfield
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-5 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Crawley Town 1-1 AFC Wimbledon

 This is a really tough match to call, as both sides will enter the contest in strong form. Crawley have home advantage, but AFC Wimbledon are playing some excellent stuff at the moment, and we are therefore finding it difficult to separate the two teams in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.78%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AFC Wimbledon in this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
32.93% (0.073 0.07) 22.99% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 44.09% (-0.14599999999999 -0.15)
Both teams to score 64.28% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.2% (-0.347 -0.35)36.8% (0.351 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.03% (-0.38 -0.38)58.97% (0.384 0.38)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.62% (-0.124 -0.12)22.38% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.11% (-0.188 -0.19)55.89% (0.193 0.19)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.81% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)17.19% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.54% (-0.346 -0.35)47.46% (0.349 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 32.93%
    AFC Wimbledon 44.09%
    Draw 22.99%
Crawley TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
2-1 @ 7.59% (0.024 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.76% (0.077 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.31% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.15% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 32.93%
1-1 @ 10.14% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.68% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.85% (0.066 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.96% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 8.93% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 6.78% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.97% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.24% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.92% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.31% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.73% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.54% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 44.09%

How you voted: Crawley vs AFC Wimbledon

Crawley Town
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
AFC Wimbledon
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 37
AFC Wimbledon
0-1
Crawley
Nadesan (5')
Sep 20, 2022 7.45pm
Group Stage
AFC Wimbledon
3-2
Crawley
Hudlin (29' pen.), Assal (75'), Frimpong (78')
Powell (59'), Frimpong (90+6' og.)
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Crawley
0-2
AFC Wimbledon

Omole (25'), Craig (45')
Craig (55')
Young-Coombes (15'), Chislett (45+1')
Davison (37'), Brown (72')
Nov 29, 2020 1.30pm
Second Round
AFC Wimbledon
1-2
Crawley
Pigott (22')
Rudoni (90+4')
Nadesan (30'), Watters (50')
Powell (45+3')
Apr 16, 2016 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Crawley
Robinson (83')
Smith (12'), Meades (61')

Della Verde (83'), Dunne (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham86111221019
2Walsall86021541118
3BarrowBarrow8512115616
4Notts County8431158715
5Port Vale84221311214
6AFC Wimbledon641194513
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster84131112-113
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
9Chesterfield8332136712
10Fleetwood TownFleetwood7331107312
11Grimsby Town84041214-212
12Newport CountyNewport84041216-412
13Bradford CityBradford8323109111
14Harrogate TownHarrogate8314811-310
15Colchester UnitedColchester82331214-29
16Salford City723246-29
17Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
18Bromley82241012-28
19MK Dons8224710-38
20Cheltenham TownCheltenham8215913-47
21Swindon TownSwindon8134812-46
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle82061017-76
23Morecambe8035611-53
24Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83
> League Two Full Table


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