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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
42.88% ( 0.14) | 23.4% ( -0.02) | 33.72% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 63.04% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.46% ( 0.06) | 38.53% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.17% ( 0.06) | 60.83% ( -0.06) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.62% ( 0.08) | 18.38% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.49% ( 0.14) | 49.51% ( -0.14) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.23% ( -0.04) | 22.76% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.55% ( -0.06) | 56.45% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.09% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.65% Total : 42.88% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( 0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 33.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 19 |
2 | Notts County | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 18 |
3 | Walsall | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 18 |
4 | BarrowBarrow | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 15 |
7 | Port Vale | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 15 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
9 | Newport CountyNewport | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
10 | Chesterfield | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
11 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
12 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
14 | MK Dons | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 10 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Bromley | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
20 | Salford City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 9 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 4 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |