League Two

League Two | Gameweek 42

Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK

Mazuma Stadium

Morecambe
2 - 1
Barrow

Tutonda (3'), Edwards (11')
Stokes (48'), Tutonda (80')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Whitfield (89')
Campbell (31'), Ray (65')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Morecambe and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions

Last Game: Accrington 1-2 Morecambe
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barrow

All competitions

Last Game: Barrow 3-1 Grimsby Town
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Buoyed by their win over Accrington, Morecambe will head into Monday's game with renewed confidence as they look to return into the playoff places. However, Barrow have hit their stride at the business end of the season and we see them coming away with a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Barrow
32.81% ( 0.19)	25.17% ( -0.03)	42.02% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 56.38% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.9% (

0.2)

47.1% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.66% (

0.19)

69.34% (

-0.19)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.61% (

0.22)

27.38% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.15% (

0.28)

62.85% (

-0.28)

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.65% (

0.01)

22.35% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.16% (

0.02)

55.84% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Morecambe 32.81%

Barrow 42.02%

Draw 25.16%

Morecambe	Draw	Barrow
1-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.81%	1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.16%	0-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.9% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 42.02%