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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Rochdale |
44.52% ( 0.27) | 27.63% ( -0.03) | 27.85% ( -0.24) |
Both teams to score 46.44% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.2% | 58.8% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.68% ( 0) | 79.32% ( -0) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.7% ( 0.14) | 26.3% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.58% ( 0.18) | 61.42% ( -0.18) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.01% ( -0.19) | 36.99% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.22% ( -0.19) | 73.77% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Rochdale |
1-0 @ 12.99% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 44.52% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.73% 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 27.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |