League Two

League Two | Gameweek 18

Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK

The New Lawn

Forest Green
2 - 2
Grimsby Town

McAllister (37' pen., 44')
Bernard (6')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Wilson (65', 80')
Rose (5'), Holohan (76')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Forest Green Rovers and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Forest Green 5-2 Scarborough Ath
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Grimsby Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Grimsby Town 7-2 Slough
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Forest Green Rovers 2-2 Grimsby Town

Both Forest Green and Grimsby enter Saturday's clash in buoyant mood following their midweek FA Cup victories, and the two teams will view this fixture as a winnable game in their quest to steer themselves away from danger in League Two. Grimsby's dismal away record bodes well for Forest Green, but we believe that the visitors will do enough to claim a share of the spoils in an entertaining contest at the New Lawn. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Grimsby Town
45.64% ( 1.48)	24.34% ( -0.07)	30.02% ( -1.4)

Both teams to score 57.93% (

-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.5% (

-0.31)

44.5% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.13% (

-0.3)

66.87% (

0.31)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.37% (

0.51)

19.64% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.4% (

0.81)

51.6% (

-0.81)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.09% (

-1.07)

27.91% (

1.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.47% (

-1.39)

63.53% (

1.39)

Score Analysis

Forest Green Rovers 45.64%

Grimsby Town 30.02%

Draw 24.33%

Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Grimsby Town
2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.06% Total : 45.64%	1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.33%	1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.02%