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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 56.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Walsall had a probability of 20.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Walsall win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Walsall |
56.97% ( -0.02) | 22.38% ( 0) | 20.64% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.73% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.78% ( -0.01) | 44.22% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.4% ( -0) | 66.6% ( 0) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.7% ( -0.01) | 15.3% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.98% ( -0.01) | 44.02% ( 0.01) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.61% ( 0.01) | 35.38% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.85% ( 0.01) | 72.14% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Walsall |
1-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.54% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.97% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.22% 4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.8% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 56.97% | 1-1 @ 10.55% 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.38% | 0-1 @ 5.62% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.92% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 20.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
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