National League South | Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stonebridge Road
Ebbsfleet3 - 1Bath City
Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Bath City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 3-0 Dover Athletic
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League South
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League South
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ebbsfleet | 6 | 11 | 18 |
| 2 | Havant & Waterlooville | 6 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Chelmsford City | 6 | 6 | 14 |
Last Game: Bath City 5-1 Slough
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League South
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League South
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Chelmsford City | 6 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Bath City | 6 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Oxford City | 5 | 8 | 12 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 66.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Bath City had a probability of 13.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Bath City win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Bath City |
66.91% ( 0.28) | 19.29% ( -0.07) | 13.81% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 50.75% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
