Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 87.52%. A draw had a probability of 8.6% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 3.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 4-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.05%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 1-2 (1.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Notts County in this match.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Wealdstone |
87.52% ( 0.06) | 8.63% ( -0.03) | 3.85% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 44.45% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.02% ( 0.04) | 24.98% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
55.11% ( 0.05) | 44.89% ( -0.05) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.32% ( 0.01) | 3.68% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
84.18% ( 0.05) | 15.82% ( -0.05) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.15% ( -0.08) | 53.85% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.82% ( -0.05) | 87.18% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Wealdstone |
3-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.8% 4-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 6.08% 5-1 @ 4.02% ( 0) 6-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0) 7-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.24% ( -0) 7-1 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 3.92% Total : 87.51% | 1-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.54% Total : 8.63% | 1-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.37% Total : 3.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 47 |
2 | York City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 45 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 45 |
4 | Gateshead | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 40 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 34 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 34 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 34 |
10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 32 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 32 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
13 | Eastleigh | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 28 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
16 | Tamworth | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 26 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 22 |
18 | Fylde | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Woking | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 9 |
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