National League | Gameweek 42

Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

Meadow Lane Stadium

Notts County
3 - 0
Wealdstone

Austin (7'), Langstaff (60'), Vincent (76')
Baldwin (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Habergham (38'), Olomola (41'), Simper (54')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the National League clash between Notts County and Wealdstone.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions

Last Game: Altrincham 0-2 Notts County
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

103

Wealdstone

All competitions

Last Game: Wealdstone 2-2 Oldham
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 87.52%. A draw had a probability of 8.6% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 3.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 4-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.05%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 1-2 (1.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Notts County in this match.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Wealdstone
87.52% ( 0.06)	8.63% ( -0.03)	3.85% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 44.45% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.02% (

0.04)

24.98% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.11% (

0.05)

44.89% (

-0.05)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.32% (

0.01)

3.68% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

84.18% (

0.05)

15.82% (

-0.05)

Wealdstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.15% (

-0.08)

53.85% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.82% (

-0.05)

87.18% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Notts County 87.51%

Wealdstone 3.85%

Draw 8.63%

Notts County	Draw	Wealdstone
3-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.8% 4-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 6.08% 5-1 @ 4.02% ( 0) 6-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0) 7-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.24% ( -0) 7-1 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 3.92% Total : 87.51%	1-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.54% Total : 8.63%	1-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.37% Total : 3.85%