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Dagenham & Redbridge
National League | Gameweek 28
Feb 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Chigwell Construction Stadium
Chesterfield

Dag & Red
1 - 2
Chesterfield

Hill (54')
Appiah-Forson (64'), Hessenthaler (82'), Eastman (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Berry (31'), Dobra (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Dagenham & Redbridge and Chesterfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dagenham & Redbridge

All competitions
Last Game: Rochdale 1-2 Dag & Red
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League

Chesterfield

All competitions
National League
Last Game: Eastleigh 1-3 Chesterfield
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League

We said: Dagenham & Redbridge 1-3 Chesterfield

 On the back of defeating Rochdale at the weekend, Dagenham & Redbridge will be confident of causing a surprise against the leaders. However, we cannot back against Chesterfield in any fixture at this level, leading us to predict a hard-earned win with several goals being scored in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chesterfield in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chesterfield.

Result
Dagenham & RedbridgeDrawChesterfield
31.23% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 24.17% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09) 44.6% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 59.19% (0.336 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.85% (0.436 0.44)43.15% (-0.436 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.45% (0.43 0.43)65.55% (-0.42999999999999 -0.43)
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.55% (0.227 0.23)26.45% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.37% (0.299 0.3)61.63% (-0.297 -0.3)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.47% (0.209 0.21)19.53% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.58% (0.341 0.34)51.42% (-0.341 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Dagenham & Redbridge 31.23%
    Chesterfield 44.6%
    Draw 24.16%
Dagenham & RedbridgeDrawChesterfield
2-1 @ 7.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 6.87% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-0 @ 4.57% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.31% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 31.23%
1-1 @ 11.21% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.09% (0.041 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.17% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.16%
1-2 @ 9.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-2 @ 6.89% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.99% (0.035 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.75% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.32% (0.043 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.04% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.36% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 44.6%

How you voted: Dag & Red vs Chesterfield

Dagenham & Redbridge
28.6%
Draw
7.1%
Chesterfield
64.3%
14
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Chesterfield
3-1
Dag & Red
Colclough (73'), Grigg (90+1' pen.), Banks (90+7')
Grimes (87')
Rees (39')
Tavares (4'), Vincent (52')
Phipps (69')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 43
Dag & Red
0-1
Chesterfield
Mandeville (71')
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Chesterfield
2-3
Dag & Red
Horton (55'), Williams (90+2')
Morias (4'), McCallum (17', 44')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Chesterfield
2-1
Dag & Red
Tshimanga (44' pen., 62' pen.)
Khan (30'), Tshimanga (33'), King (68')
Walker (35')
Walker (61'), Rance (65'), Jones (90')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Dag & Red
2-2
Chesterfield
Balanta (13'), Saunders (23')
Reynolds (64'), Vilhete (66'), (84')
(90')
Grimes (50'), Tshimanga (52')
Payne (26'), Grimes (34'), Kellerman (38'), Khan (76'), Whittle (90+3')
Grimes (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet40287584335191
2York City40248877374080
3Forest Green RoversForest Green402015560352575
4Oldham AthleticOldham401715857411666
5Halifax TownHalifax401712114637963
6Rochdale381791256381860
7Gateshead401791467571060
8Southend UnitedSouthend401514115146559
9AltrinchamAltrincham401512136051957
10Tamworth401512135458-457
11Eastleigh401314135351253
12Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool401216124949052
13Yeovil TownYeovil401410164551-652
14Sutton UnitedSutton391312145153-251
15Aldershot TownAldershot391214136165-450
16Solihull MoorsSolihull40139185460-648
17Braintree TownBraintree40139184553-848
18Woking391015144052-1245
19Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red401013175157-643
20Boston UnitedBoston391110184558-1343
21WealdstoneWealdstone391012174867-1942
22Fylde39116224671-2539
23Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead40108224471-2738
24Ebbsfleet40213253285-5319
> National League Full Table


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