National League | Gameweek 28

Feb 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Chigwell Construction Stadium

Dag & Red
1 - 2
Chesterfield

Hill (54')
Appiah-Forson (64'), Hessenthaler (82'), Eastman (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Berry (31'), Dobra (75')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Dagenham & Redbridge and Chesterfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dagenham & Redbridge

All competitions

Last Game: Rochdale 1-2 Dag & Red
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Chesterfield

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Eastleigh 1-3 Chesterfield
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Dagenham & Redbridge 1-3 Chesterfield

On the back of defeating Rochdale at the weekend, Dagenham & Redbridge will be confident of causing a surprise against the leaders. However, we cannot back against Chesterfield in any fixture at this level, leading us to predict a hard-earned win with several goals being scored in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chesterfield in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chesterfield.

Result
Dagenham & Redbridge	Draw	Chesterfield
31.23% ( 0.02)	24.17% ( -0.09)	44.6% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 59.19% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.85% (

0.44)

43.15% (

-0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.45% (

0.43)

65.55% (

-0.43)

Dagenham & Redbridge Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.55% (

0.23)

26.45% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.37% (

0.3)

61.63% (

-0.3)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.47% (

0.21)

19.53% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.58% (

0.34)

51.42% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

Dagenham & Redbridge 31.23%

Chesterfield 44.6%

Draw 24.16%

Dagenham & Redbridge	Draw	Chesterfield
2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.2% Total : 31.23%	1-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.16%	1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.99% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.75% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.13% Total : 44.6%