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Aldershot Town
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Eastleigh
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Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
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Yeovil Town
Gateshead
National League | Gameweek 33
Apr 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Gateshead International Stadium
Aldershot Town

Gateshead
0 - 1
Aldershot


Tinkler (50'), Adom (90+1')
Harness (47')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's National League clash between Gateshead and Aldershot Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gateshead 2-1 Chesterfield
Monday, April 15 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 0-3 Boreham Wood
Saturday, April 13 at 5.30pm in National League

We said: Gateshead 2-1 Aldershot Town

Although they are having to cope with a short turnaround, we think that Gateshead will continue their six-game winning home in all competitions against an Aldershot side that has lost each of their last three matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 61.64%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 18.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 1-0 (7.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
GatesheadDrawAldershot Town
61.64% (-1.331 -1.33) 19.52% (0.461 0.46) 18.85% (0.869 0.87)
Both teams to score 61.84% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.52% (-0.756 -0.76)33.48% (0.753 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.73% (-0.86799999999999 -0.87)55.27% (0.864 0.86)
Gateshead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.47% (-0.55 -0.55)10.53% (0.547 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.77% (-1.246 -1.25)34.23% (1.244 1.24)
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.11% (0.42 0.42)30.89% (-0.423 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.82% (0.491 0.49)67.18% (-0.494 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Gateshead 61.64%
    Aldershot Town 18.85%
    Draw 19.52%
GatesheadDrawAldershot Town
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.044 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.24% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-0 @ 7.32% (0.119 0.12)
3-1 @ 7.26% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-0 @ 6.18% (-0.192 -0.19)
3-2 @ 4.27% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.09% (-0.177 -0.18)
4-0 @ 3.48% (-0.193 -0.19)
4-2 @ 2.4% (-0.075 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.84% (-0.125 -0.13)
5-0 @ 1.57% (-0.126 -0.13)
5-2 @ 1.08% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 61.64%
1-1 @ 8.6% (0.237 0.24)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.091 0.09)
0-0 @ 3.25% (0.127 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.67% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 19.52%
1-2 @ 5.05% (0.196 0.2)
0-1 @ 3.82% (0.191 0.19)
0-2 @ 2.24% (0.137 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.061 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.98% (0.099 0.1)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 18.85%

How you voted: Gateshead vs Aldershot

Gateshead
66.7%
Draw
29.6%
Aldershot Town
3.7%
27
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Aldershot
1-1
Gateshead
Stokes (59')
Harries (37'), Tolaj (42')
Francis (86')
Storey (55'), Richardson (55')
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Aldershot
2-3
Gateshead
Partington (7'), Jordan (90+2')
Campbell (20'), Dinanga (48', 57')
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 22
Gateshead
0-2
Aldershot
Glover (52'), Amaluzor (78')
Mar 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 43
Aldershot
0-2
Gateshead
Thomson (63'), Salkeld (85')
Barrow (83')
Oct 27, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 21
Gateshead
3-0
Aldershot
Olley (20'), Boden (33'), White (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Forest Green RoversForest Green18124235142140
2York City18115233141938
3Barnet18121538231537
4Oldham AthleticOldham1897229171234
5Gateshead1810443024634
6Rochdale189362718930
7Halifax TownHalifax188552016429
8Yeovil TownYeovil188462116528
9Solihull MoorsSolihull188463228428
10AltrinchamAltrincham187652823527
11Sutton UnitedSutton187472626025
12Eastleigh186662525024
13Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red185763022822
14Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool185761821-322
15Tamworth186482032-1222
16Southend UnitedSouthend185672022-221
17Woking185581924-520
18Aldershot TownAldershot184772329-619
19Braintree TownBraintree185491420-619
20WealdstoneWealdstone184681825-718
21Fylde1853102337-1418
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead1844102131-1016
23Boston UnitedBoston1825111631-1511
24Ebbsfleet1815121543-288


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