Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Halifax Town had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Halifax Town win was 1-0 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.